Political Science

Center for Opinion Research

The Department of Political Science & History hosts the Center for Opinion Research, which includes a professional survey center with 25 work stations for students to learn about survey research by experiencing how the data is collected. The studies also contribute to published academic works to better understand Texas and the public's perceptions about topics.

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Recent Poll Results

The May survey by the Dallas Morning News and UT Tyler is the third poll that has studied the views of Texas voters during the 2022 election season. The survey also includes 1,232 registered voters to provide insights about the primary run-off election and how the public views public policy. 

Press Release  Results                            

Press Coverage                 

 

Texas Survey - May 2022

(Registered Voter Report)

Texas poll: What residents say about Abbott, O’Rourke, the border, abortion, marijuana

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Methodology

The Dallas Morning News/UT-Tyler Poll is a statewide random sample of 1,232 registered voters conducted between May 2 to 10. The mixed-mode sample includes 412 registered voters surveyed over the phone by the University of Texas at Tyler with support from ReconMR and 820 registered voters randomly selected from Dynata’s panel of online respondents. The margin of error for a sample of registered voters in Texas is plus or minus 2.8 percentage points, and the more conservative margin of sampling error that includes design effects from this poll is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points for a 95% confidence interval. The online and phone surveys were conducted in English and Spanish. Using information from the 2020 Current Population Survey and Office of the Texas Secretary of State. The sample’s gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, metropolitan density and vote choice were matched to the population of registered voters in Texas.

Post-stratification weights were calculated for the random telephone sample and web sample separately to be representative of the Texas registered voter population, before the two weighted samples were combined into one standardized sample (see Elliott 2009). To balance sample demographics with the estimated gender, age, race/ethnicity, and education of registered voters in the state we use an iterated process known as raking. These parameters were derived from 2020 Current Population Survey to reflect Texas’s electorate. Also, to account for the influence of urbanization on voter registration the sample is also weighted to reflect the population density of the state using the counts of registered voters in all 254 counties based on data from the Texas Secretary of State. Election data from the Texas Secretary of State is also used to reflect voting patterns in the state.  The use of these weights in statistical analysis ensures that the characteristics of the sample closely reflect the characteristics of registered voters in Texas. A second step uses weights from the probability phone sample to standardize the weights for the non-probability online sample to reduce sampling bias (see Elliott 2009).

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Archive of Past Studies

Press Release

Results      

Press Coverage

 

Texas Survey - February 2022

(Registered Voter Report)

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott up 7 points over Beto O’Rourke; AG Ken Paxton likely headed to runoff

 

Texas Survey - January 2022

(Registered Voter Report)

Abbott running comfortably ahead of O'Rourke in DMN/UT-Tyler Poll

What Do Texans Want? Progressive Policies and Conservative Politicians

 

Texas Survey - November 2021

(Registered Voter Report)

Greg Abbott holds 6-point lead over Beto O’Rourke, bigger edge in 3-way Texas governor’s race

Most Texans oppose gerrymandering but tuned out this year’s GOP-led redraw, News/UT-Tyler poll finds

 

Texas Survey - September 2021 (Registered Voter Report)

Abbott’s right turn deflates GOP rivals but opens door for O’Rourke, McConaughey

July 2021

Texas Survey - June 2021

(Registered Voter Report)

Gov. Abbott rebounds against possible challenger Matthew McConaughey, has razor thin edge over actor

 

Texas Survey - April 2021

(Registered Voter Report)

Matthew McConaughey may be a viable candidate for Texas governor; poll shows actor ahead of Abbott

 

Texas Survey - March 2021

(Registered Voter Report)

Stung by the Storm: Poll finds Texas leaders failed to anticipate severe weather, prepare public

October Survey

Texas Survey - October 2020

(Likely Voter Report)

Texas Survey - October 2020

(Registered Voter Report)

Biden rebounds to edge over Trump in Texas 

as Hegar slighlty narrows Cornyn's lead in Senate race

 

Texas Survey - September 2020

Trump erases Biden's lead in Texas

 

Texas Survey - July 2020

(Registered Voters)

 
 

Texas Survey - April 2020

(Registered Voters)

 
 

Texas Survey - February 2020

(Likely Voters)

Texas Survey (February Registered Voters)

Bernie Sanders, aided by Hispanics, bursts into lead in Texas primary, Dallas News-UT Tyler poll shows

January Survey

Texas Survey - January 2020

(Likely Voters)

Texas Survey (January 2020 - Registered Voters)

Dallas Morning News, University of Texas at Tyler join forces to poll Texans on elections, issues

Donald Trump ahead in Texas, though Joe Biden, Mike Bloomberg close behind, Dallas Morning News-UT Tyler poll shows

Texans overwhelmingly want gun background checks, are open to red flag laws, DMN-UT Tyler poll finds

November Survey

Texas Survery (November 2019)

 

Polling Center Press Release

Texas Survey (September 2019)

 

Polling Center Press Release

Post Debate Survey (August 2019)

 

Polling Center Press Release

Pre DebateTexas Survey(July 2019)

 
 

Texas Survey(July 2019)

 

Polling Center Press Release

Texas Opinion Study (Feb 2019)

Statesman Commentary

Polling Center Press Release

Texas Opinion Survey (Oct 2018)  

Texas Tribune, Ted Cruz’s lead over Beto O’Rourke narrows to 3.6, UT-Tyler poll says

Tyler Paper, UT Tyler sets up statewide polling center to gauge political, public opinion

KLTV, UT Tyler professors explain ‘science’ behind statewide political poll

Tyler Paper, UT Tyler poll shows Ted Cruz leading Beto O’Rourke by 4.3 points