Political Science

Center for Opinion Research

The Department of Political Science & History hosts the Center for Opinion Research, which includes a professional survey center with 25 work stations for students to learn about survey research by experiencing how the data is collected. The studies also contribute to published academic works to better understand Texas and the public's perceptions about topics.

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Recent Poll Results

The October survey by UT Tyler is the sixth poll that has studied the views of Texas voters during the 2022 election season. The survey also includes 1,330 registered voters and 973 likely voters to provide insights leading into the general election and how the public views public policy. 

Press Release  Results                            

Press Coverage                 

 

Texas Likely Voters (Election) - October 2022

Texas Registered Voters (Policies) - October 2022

(Registered Voter Report)

 

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Methodology

The UT-Tyler Poll is a statewide random sample of 1,330 registered voters conducted between October 17 and 24. The mixed-mode sample includes 377 registered voters surveyed over the phone by the University of Texas at Tyler with support from ReconMR and 954 registered voters randomly selected from Dynata’s panel of online respondents. The margin of error for a sample of registered voters in Texas is plus or minus 2.7 percentage points, and the more conservative margin of sampling error that includes design effects from this poll is plus or minus 2.9 percentage points for a 95% confidence interval.

Our sample also represents a smaller set of 973 respondents from the registered voter sample who said they were certain to vote or that they had already cast a ballot. This mixed mode sample of certain voters includes 323 respondents from the phone interviews (86% of RV phone sample) and 670 respondents from the online surveys (70% of RV online sample). The margin of error for a sample of 971 registered voters in Texas is +/- 3.1 percentage points, and the more conservative margin of sampling error that includes design effects from this poll is +/- 3.4 percentage points for a 95% confidence interval.

The online and phone surveys were conducted in English and Spanish. Using information from the 2020 Current Population Survey and Office of the Texas Secretary of State. The sample’s gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, metropolitan density and vote choice were matched to the population of registered voters in Texas.

Post-stratification weights were calculated for the random telephone sample and web sample separately to be representative of the Texas registered voter population, before the two weighted samples were combined into one standardized sample (see Elliott 2009). To balance sample demographics with the estimated gender, age, race/ethnicity, and education of registered voters in the state we use an iterated process known as raking. These parameters were derived from 2020 Current Population Survey to reflect Texas’s electorate. Also, to account for the influence of urbanization on voter registration the sample is also weighted to reflect the population density of the state using the counts of registered voters in all 254 counties based on data from the Texas Secretary of State. Election data from the Texas Secretary of State is also used to reflect voting patterns in the state.  The use of these weights in statistical analysis ensures that the characteristics of the sample closely reflect the characteristics of registered voters in Texas. A second step uses weights from the probability phone sample to standardize the weights for the non-probability online sample to reduce sampling bias (see Elliott 2009).

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Archive of Past Studies

Press Release

Results      

Press Coverage

 

Texas Survey - September 2022

(Registered Voter Report)

 

 

Texas Survey - August 2022

(Registered Voter Report)

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott still leads Beto O’Rourke, new poll shows

Texans mostly split over Roe abortion ruling, but more are unsure, poll shows

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton neck-and-neck with Democratic challenger in new poll

 

Texas Survey - May 2022

(Registered Voter Report)

Texas poll: What residents say about Abbott, O’Rourke, the border, abortion, marijuana

 

Texas Survey - February 2022

(Registered Voter Report)

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott up 7 points over Beto O’Rourke; AG Ken Paxton likely headed to runoff

 

Texas Survey - January 2022

(Registered Voter Report)

Abbott running comfortably ahead of O'Rourke in DMN/UT-Tyler Poll

What Do Texans Want? Progressive Policies and Conservative Politicians

 

Texas Survey - November 2021

(Registered Voter Report)

Greg Abbott holds 6-point lead over Beto O’Rourke, bigger edge in 3-way Texas governor’s race

Most Texans oppose gerrymandering but tuned out this year’s GOP-led redraw, News/UT-Tyler poll finds

 

Texas Survey - September 2021 (Registered Voter Report)

Abbott’s right turn deflates GOP rivals but opens door for O’Rourke, McConaughey

July 2021

Texas Survey - June 2021

(Registered Voter Report)

Gov. Abbott rebounds against possible challenger Matthew McConaughey, has razor thin edge over actor

 

Texas Survey - April 2021

(Registered Voter Report)

Matthew McConaughey may be a viable candidate for Texas governor; poll shows actor ahead of Abbott

 

Texas Survey - March 2021

(Registered Voter Report)

Stung by the Storm: Poll finds Texas leaders failed to anticipate severe weather, prepare public

October Survey

Texas Survey - October 2020

(Likely Voter Report)

Texas Survey - October 2020

(Registered Voter Report)

Biden rebounds to edge over Trump in Texas 

as Hegar slighlty narrows Cornyn's lead in Senate race

 

Texas Survey - September 2020

Trump erases Biden's lead in Texas

 

Texas Survey - July 2020

(Registered Voters)

 
 

Texas Survey - April 2020

(Registered Voters)

 
 

Texas Survey - February 2020

(Likely Voters)

Texas Survey (February Registered Voters)

Bernie Sanders, aided by Hispanics, bursts into lead in Texas primary, Dallas News-UT Tyler poll shows

January Survey

Texas Survey - January 2020

(Likely Voters)

Texas Survey (January 2020 - Registered Voters)

Dallas Morning News, University of Texas at Tyler join forces to poll Texans on elections, issues

Donald Trump ahead in Texas, though Joe Biden, Mike Bloomberg close behind, Dallas Morning News-UT Tyler poll shows

Texans overwhelmingly want gun background checks, are open to red flag laws, DMN-UT Tyler poll finds

November Survey

Texas Survery (November 2019)

 

Polling Center Press Release

Texas Survey (September 2019)

 

Polling Center Press Release

Post Debate Survey (August 2019)

 

Polling Center Press Release

Pre DebateTexas Survey(July 2019)

 
 

Texas Survey(July 2019)

 

Polling Center Press Release

Texas Opinion Study (Feb 2019)

Statesman Commentary

Polling Center Press Release

Texas Opinion Survey (Oct 2018)  

Texas Tribune, Ted Cruz’s lead over Beto O’Rourke narrows to 3.6, UT-Tyler poll says

Tyler Paper, UT Tyler sets up statewide polling center to gauge political, public opinion

KLTV, UT Tyler professors explain ‘science’ behind statewide political poll

Tyler Paper, UT Tyler poll shows Ted Cruz leading Beto O’Rourke by 4.3 points